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Oil Rises, CAD Doesn't - The Market Is Telling You Something

Oil Rises, CAD Doesn't - The Market Is Telling You Something

There is something unusual happening with USDCAD this week that most traders will miss if they only look at the exchange rate in isolation. WTI is trading above $103. Brent is above $111. At these oil levels, the textbook says USDCAD should be moving lower - CAD is a petrocurrency, and its correlation with W

BULLISH structural — the Brent-WTI divergence is telling the most important story in the oil mark

BULLISH structural — the Brent-WTI divergence is telling the most important story in the oil mark

Something unusual is happening in the oil market this morning that most traders will miss if they are only watching one benchmark. WTI is down sharply, -3.56% to 98.38, while Brent is up +0.49% to 109.75 — the Brent-WTI spread has blown out suddenly to approximately 11.37 USD. This is one of the widest readings since the Hormuz crisis began, and it is telling a very specific story about the structure of the

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